F1 2025 Qatar GP Odds & Race Predictions
Following a double disqualification for McLaren in Las Vegas, Max Verstappen is the favorite to win the F1 2025 Qatar GP. But Lando Norris still has a chance to become world champion in Qatar this weekend.
While some F1 fans are predicting that Norris doesn’t stand a chance, the championship race will take place on the more favorable Lusail International Circuit. While it’s a relatively close call between Verstappen, Norris, and Piastri, it’s the former two drivers who are the ones to watch this time, with Norris just 24 points ahead of his teammate and Max.
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Three-way fight for the F1 Qatar GP title
After the nightmare for Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri at Las Vegas, the 2025 Qatar GP arrives at a pinnacle point. As it stands, there’s a three-way fight for the championship title between Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri of McLaren, and Max Verstappen of Red Bull.
Despite both Norris and Piastri being disqualified due to excessive wear on their skid pads in Las Vegas, Norris still has a chance to become a world champion for the first time in Qatar. As we head towards the penultimate race of the 2025 F1 season, Verstappen is the favorite to win, with Norris and Piastri following closely behind.
While the recent race in Sin City featured a double disqualification that will make it a challenge for Norris to win the championship title, every point matters. For Verstappen, it’s his last chance at securing his third win in Qatar. But with the Lusail International Circuit offering very little margin for error, who will reign supreme?
Previous F1 Qatar Grand Prix Winners
Let’s take a look at the last four years of winners at the Qatar Grand Prix. As you can see, Max Verstappen is on a winning streak in Qatar and is returning to try and secure a third consecutive win.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2022 | Race was cancelled | N/A |
| 2021 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
F1 Qatar Grand Prix Predictions
Ahead of Sunday’s Qatar Grand Prix, we take a look at the three favorites to win to weigh up who has the edge. Between Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, and Oscar Piastri, anything can happen.
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Max Verstappen – Red Bull
Verstappen is entering familiar territory after winning his last two Qatar GPs. Having been successful twice before, he’s secured the most wins on the Lusail International Circuit. But with Sunday’s race looming, Max is under a great deal of pressure – can his nerves handle it, or will he crack? Thankfully, the Red Bull drivers know how to deliver when needed, so Verstappen is a firm favorite to win.
Lando Norris
Even after his disaster at Las Vegas, Norris can still win the Qatar GP Championship. If he wins 2 more points than his rivals in the Sprint Race, he is guaranteed a win on Sunday. With 390 points to his name, Lando is in the lead.
Oscar Piastri
Both Piastri and Verstappen hold 366 points, just 24 points behind Lando Norris. Historically, Piastri’s car matches well with circuits like Lusail, so he’s predicted to do very well on the day. Provided that his engineers get their strategy right in the pit, Oscar could secure a win.
Sprint Race: Weighing up the weekend performance
The driver who nails the Sprint Race this weekend could carry the momentum over to Sunday’s Championship race. Likewise, any mistake that happens on Saturday can lead to disastrous results on Sunday. With just 24 points between Norris, Piastri, and Verstappen, it’s a close call and something that’s adversely influencing the odds on the best F1 betting sites.
Conclusion: Final thoughts ahead of the F1 2025 Qatar GP
This year’s Qatar Grand Prix promises to have F1 fans on the edge of their seats. It’s easily one of the most unpredictable races of the season, making it more tense for fans who are watching. Likewise, the drivers will be feeling the pressure due to a tight three-way fight this year.
With just 24 points separating the three favorites, betting requires strategy and in-depth knowledge of the driver’s performance. But the reigning driver won’t be successful on pace alone, as it will require immaculate pit-stop timing and tyre management.
If you are planning on tuning in this weekend, you should prep for betting now by weighing up the predictions. Make sure you are taking advantage of the betting sites’ bonuses ahead of your wagering, so you can secure some extra value where possible.
