Duarte vs Sims Jr Betting Guide – Odds, Picks & DAZN Fight Analysis
Plenty is at stake when Mexican gladiator Oscar Duarte and American counterpuncher Kenneth Sims Jr. go into war this weekend at Credit Union 1 Arena in Chicago in an event that will be broadcasted live on DAZN.
Duarte and Sims Jr. enter this matchup on the back of separate win streaks with the former currently riding a three-fight winning run and the latter on a nine-fight winning skid. Put simply, one’s win streak will end this weekend. If you’re looking to join in the action, then you’re in luck as we’ll dig deep at the value bets for this much-anticipated bout.
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Top betting picks for Oscar Duarte vs Kenneth Sims Jr
Mexican slugger Oscar Duarte heads into this matchup against Kenneth Sims Jr as the slight favorite as per the latest odds from the best boxing sites. However, besides the moneyline, you could find potential value on other plays, especially considering that both fighters have excellent cardio and respectable knockout powers.
| Betting Selections | Odds |
|---|---|
| Oscar Darte to win | 1.61 |
| Over 9.5 rounds | No odds |
| Over 10.5 rounds | 1.36 |
| Kenneth Sims Jr. to win | 2.40 |
Fight to Reach the Distance
Odds for the Fight to Reach the Distance have yet to be released but as soon as it does, I am certainly placing a few units on it. Although both fighters have solid knockout ratios, one thing I’ve noticed about Oscar Duarte and Kenneth Sims Jr. is that they are both patient. Duarte isn’t the kind of a fighter that swings on the fences in the first round while Sims Jr. is technically sound and is someone whom I like to describe as a point fighter.
Stylistically speaking, I like to think that this is one of those fights that builds slowly with Duarte likely to apply pressure and work to the body as the round goes, and Sims Jr. trying to pick his moments by counterpunching. If you’re looking to use your bookmaker bonuses, then the Fight to Reach the Distance might be a solid play, especially with both fighters showing the ability to go rounds in their previous fights.
Over 9.5 Rounds
The over 9.5 rounds is another prop bet I am looking to place some action on in the Oscar Duarte vs Kenneth Sims Jr. fight. To reiterate my previous point, this matchup doesn’t just scream early stoppage to me. While Duarte has insane KO power, it often takes him a while to figure his opponents out. Sims Jr., on the other hand, has gone 10 rounds multiple times with pressure fighters like Elvis Rodrigues.
Although Rodrigues and Duarte are nothing alike, I still think that the experience of fighting a pressure-forward fighter will serve Sims Jr. well here. Unless someone gets caught with a clean shot which is highly unlikely, this feels like a matchup that sees the championship rounds and possibly the final bell. I will be watching the round line closely and I might bet on the over 9.5 round if it opens anywhere around -110 or better.
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Kenneth Sims Jr. to win – 2.23
Bookmakers have Oscar Duarte as the favorite for this fight and rightfully so. The 29-year old Duarte has fought fighters like Ryan Garcia, Joseph Diaz, and Alex Martin. However, I am going against the consensus and picking Kenneth Sims Jr. to pull off the upset at plus money odds against Duarte. I get why Duarte is the favorite here. He’s the more aggressive fighter and is easy to root for with that pressure-forward boxing style.
However, when you look closely, this fight feels a lot closer than the current odds suggest. As a matter fact, I am expecting the line to close at even odds come fight night or at least much tighter than it is now. Sims Jr. possesses a style that is quite effective in neutralizing pressure-forward fighters as evident in his win against Elvis Rodrigues. His lateral movement is quite impressive for his age and his jab should be enough to control the distance of the fight. If you’re looking for value, then backing Kenneth Sims Jr to win outright at 2.23 is a solid boxing betting strategy.
Conclusion – Make your picks ahead of Oscar Duarte vs Kenneth Sims Jr.
As you can see, there is plenty of value to be found for the much-anticipated clash between Oscar Duarte and Kenneth Sims Jr. Whether you are backing on the Fight to Go to Distance, the over 9.5 rounds, or Kenneth Sims Jr. to win outright, there are so many betting angles to consider if you’re looking to join in the action. So, make sure to click on the banners to sign up to your favorite betting sites and place your bets ahead of this high-stakes clash of styles.
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