Online Betting / Wettschule / Boxing Betting Strategy: The Best Boxing Betting Strategies for 2024 Explored

Boxing Betting Strategy: The Best Boxing Betting Strategies for 2024 Explored

James Leeland
Editor
Fact checked by: Jim Knight
Publish Date: 10.04.2024

There’s no sport quite as exciting as boxing. The intensity, the high level athleticism and the sheer dedication makes it an admirable sport, and it’s even more intense to bet on – which is why you need a boxing betting strategy.

We want to help you develop the best strategy you can possibly have. Understanding and learning the sport of boxing can help you develop a better system for when you are betting. In this article, we also will focus on what the strongest boxing betting strategies are that you can take advantage of.

Why You Should Bet On Boxing

The best boxing betting strategy is an elusive dragon to chase. Boxing is perceived to be a tough sport to wager on, because by its very nature, it is unpredictable. Styles make fights. Everybody has a puncher’s chance, so betting on boxing can be risky. So, why should you bet on boxing?

🥊 Fewer Markets

You either bet on one fighter to win, or the other. Even the other betting markets are simpler to break down. You can pick how the boxer wins, and which round he wins on, but apart from that, there isn’t a wide range of betting markets for you to choose from. While this may seem like a disadvantage, it is actually the opposite. The reduced betting options makes it far easier to put together worthwhile boxing betting strategies.

📈 Good Odds

Many of the best online bookmakers will always have high odds for boxing as well, because of its unpredictable nature. Even a dominant favourite will have reasonably higher odds compared to other sports, because of the point we made above. Fighting based sports always have an added layer of risk involved, so cultivating a boxing betting strategy can see a greater chance of turning over a winning bet due to the naturally higher odds as a result.

🏁 Limited Results

Boxing is a far more constrained sport. You are put in a fight and you have to win a fight, and that is the end of that. The fight can end before the time limit, unlike in other sports. There are no goals, yellow cards, fouls or substitutions. The fight will continue under most circumstances, unless there is a deliberate disqualification or if the fighter is somehow unable to continue. The possibility for creating a good boxing betting strategy is made simple, due to the simplistic nature of the sport.

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Creating the Best Boxing Betting Strategy: Our Tips

There are so many factors that can go into a boxing fight. That is the differential. It is a fight, rather than a sport. This means that it is far more unpredictable, so it must be approached from a bettors perspective completely differently. Here’s our tips on how to create a solid betting strategy:

The expression ‘punchers chance’ exists for a reason: absolutely anybody, at any given time, has a chance of knocking somebody out, or rocking somebody. That’s why it’s always best to bet on the more popular markets, as there’s not much guarantee on what will happen.

The outright results, and maybe a round stoppage is the most you can wager on. These are simpler markets that you should bet on. Betting on the amount of punches thrown, for example, can only harm your overall betting strategy. They are appeasing markets with appeasing odds that you can bet on, but are very risky. Keep it simple. Even if the odds take a bit of hit, you’re giving yourself the best possible chance of winning by focusing on the basics.

What Bet Types Are There for My Boxing Betting Strategy?

Boxing is a fluid enough sport to bet on, in that there are multiple different markets that you can wager on. On the other hand, though, there are some bets you may be unable to make, or shouldn’t make. We’ve narrowed it down, with a short chart below, to indicate how you can bet:

Bet TypesExplanationBoxing
OutrightYou bet on who will win the fight
Each WayThere are only two competitors in boxing, so you can’t put down a ‘place bet’ on where a boxer can place
HandicapOne boxer is generally the favourite, so will have handicap odds placed in their favour
Correct ScoreYou can guess if the fight will end in knockout, technical knockout or by decision in your chosen round
DoubleYou can place on multiple betting markets
TrebleYou can place a bet on three betting markets
Punches ThrownAvoid placing a bet on this market as it is too hard to call
DisqualificationYou can bet on if the bout will end on a disqualification
Over/UnderYou can bet on if the fight will last over, or under a certain number of rounds.
CanadianThere are not enough markets in a boxing match to place a high volume accumulator like a Canadian (52 bets)

2. Do Your Research on the Fighters

We would say this for any betting strategy, but it definitely is needed for your boxing betting strategies. Doing the research on the fight is the best way you can strategize for your bets. That sometimes requires a lot of work.

You have to bet on the individual fighters’ styles, whether they are a knockout artist or an endurance fighter, their age and their recent form, among many more factors. Sometimes, there’s even more in depth factors you have to consider too, such as fatigue, overtraining or dehydration. These are factors that are hard to discover, but if you do the right research, you can get it done.

3. Back Fighters with Proven Records, but Understand They Can Fall Too

Let’s say you were betting on Mike Tyson early in his career, for example. An easy bet would be that Tyson would knock out his opponents in the first round. However, until Tyson fought Buster Douglas, he was relatively unproven in bouts of endurance. He just used his skill and power to finish his opponents off early. If you had put that wager on Tyson, it would’ve been a losing one, as Douglas won by wearing Tyson down over ten rounds. Don’t always wager on the knockout artist to finish it early, as they can be prone to getting gassed if put against the right experienced fighter.

4. Use Implied Probabilities to Help You Understand Odds

This one is a little more mathematical, but it’s important to take everything into consideration for your boxing betting strategies.

We cover implied probabilities in our futures betting guide, because every betting strategy should take them into consideration. For example, if there’s an overwhelming favourite, such as the Jake Paul fight, the odds may be 1.0 or under. These odds can be intimidating, as they aren’t worth the risk. However, before you dismiss them, approach the odds with more implied probabilities.

If you were to check out an implied probabilities calculator that some sportsbooks will have, you’ll be able to calculate that the Jake Paul fight, based on BetMGM odds, gives Jake Paul an implied probability of 83.3% to win. So, while the odds aren’t a huge multiplier, you can use those odds to still turn your wager into a potential winning bet.

5. Consider the High Potential In Knockout Bets

Remember what the nature of boxing is like. It’s a violent sport, and some boxers out there just have raw power on their side. Even the statistical data on this subject doesn’t lie. 66% of boxing fights end by knockout, and that’s a large landslide.

When the odds are skewed heavily in the favour of one fighter, and it seems one sided, bet on that fighter to get a knockout victory. Betting on them to simply win probably won’t be favourable odds, as the match itself seems to be one sided. But the market on knockouts is usually double, if not triple, the match result, so it can be potentially rewarding to back the fighter to knockout their opponent, especially if that boxer is a known powerhouse, or knockout artist.

Predict When the Knockout will Occur

If you’re feeling more adventurous, you could also attempt to wager on what round you think the fight will end. If you’re dealing with a conditioned and patient fighter, maybe that knockout will come in the later rounds. But if you’re backing a raw powerhouse, anywhere in the first three rounds would be a tactful move.

Of course, this is a wager that’s got far more risk attached to it, as it can be very difficult to call the exact round a fighter goes down in. Thus, most of the best boxing betting sites will have odds worth looking into for knockout results.

6. Avoid Deceptive Prop Bets

This is one that happens quite frequently in boxing betting. There’s many betting markets out there, or special bets, that predict when a boxer will win a fight, the exact time and round, for what seem like irresistible odds. We’d recommend you avoid these bets like the plague, because there are too many factors at play here.

Betting on the exact time a boxer can win can be done, don’t get us wrong. But many of these bets are deliberately too difficult for a bettor to get right, and ultimately, they are a waste of time and money. There is no exact science that can tell you when a fighter will get knocked out. No historical data, or fighter form can predict something like this. Boxing is just too unpredictable a sport, and every boxer will always have a chance. You’re better off trusting your own instincts when it comes to your boxing betting strategy, and backing historical data to come up with a more likely prop bet of your own.

Bet on Sets, Not Individual Rounds

A more likely alternative would be to bet on a set of rounds, rather than an individual round. For example, if you know the boxer your backing is known to be more of an endurance based fighter, you can back him to end the fight in the seventh, eighth and ninth rounds.

That way, you have the possibility of ramping up your odds of winning, while also broadening out the range to make the possibility more likely. This is not a failsafe strategy, but it is a better alternative, if you’re dead set on betting on a condition like this. In our experience, though, many of these prop bets are deceptive in nature, and your best bet would be to stay away from them, and focus more on simpler results to predict.

The Best Boxing Betting Strategies Rely on the Bookies

Betting on boxing is always done better when you keep your boxing betting strategy simple, and fortunately it’s a sport where markets tend to stay simple. There are too many unpredictable factors that go into your average boxing fight. The proven skill of the fighter, and the probability of their success are good starting points, but you need to be prepared for the unexpected too.

One factor that you can for sure trust is the unpredictability of boxing. Boxing is a sport where you have to keep your mind open, and your bets conservative. Only so many things can happen in a match, but you never actually know what might happen or when an opponent will serve a deadly knockout punch. As long as you’re aware of the inherent risks of betting on boxing from the onset, you’ll be able to place the best informed bets you can on the sport.

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Boxing Betting Strategies FAQ

❓ How can I bet on boxing?

You can bet on boxing like you can any other sport. Just choose the markets you want to bet on, and wager away! We’d always caution you to focus on simpler bets to start off with, though.

📱 What strategy is the best for boxing betting?

There are some great strategies you can use for boxing betting. Ultimately, we’d recommend you focus on not overcomplicating your betting markets.

⏳ What does over 2 rounds mean?

This is an over/under bet. What this means, is that you are betting on the fight to last longer than two rounds.

🥊 Can you bet on every round in boxing?

It depends on the quality of the boxing sportsbook you have. On a sportsbook like Betrivers or DraftKings, you can bet on markets within every round.

💲 Can cash out betting work in boxing?

Cash out betting is a good strategy for boxing. Some bookies let you cash out in between rounds, if the fight is not going your way.